Four reports: by projected speed, by Closing Factor, by pace averages and by trainer angles.
Horsesheets for 8-28 four reports – proj speed – closing – pace avg – trainer angles
The Fat Cowboy
Horse handicapping and selections
Four reports: by projected speed, by Closing Factor, by pace averages and by trainer angles.
Horsesheets for 8-28 four reports – proj speed – closing – pace avg – trainer angles
What I don’t understand about the sheets is you state that a close of 1.00 are usually horses that are in the lead or close to the lead. what I don’t understand is if a horse is and 8 in TDS 1 and 8 in TDS 2 that equals a 1.00. Now how is that horse consider on or near the lead?
Good question, Frank. It’s all in how you look at it. An 8 at 2nd call and an 8 at the finish does indeed show a 1 for a Closing Factor. Which is exactly what that column represents: the horse’s Closing Factor, or its past tendency to close. An 8/8 horse is obviously not a closer. And we obviously can’t look at just one figure when we handicap. If we have a horse with a Closing Factor of 1, we look at its position at 2nd call to see where it habitually runs compared to the other horses in the race. An 8/8, even though the Closing Factor is a 1, would probably not be a horse you’d want to bet on. Another part of the equation is BROT1, which tells us how fast the horse was moving at first call. Unfortunately we have to look at many factors to make a decision. Hope this helps.