long horsesheets 5-22-2021

Here are three versions of the HorseSheets: the short Horsesheets, sorted by average speed; the long HorseSheets, sorted by closing ability; and the trainer angle horsesheets. 14th and 15th for Pimlico, and for some reason the 15th for Churchill Downs. Never let it be said I didn’t give you enough information.

horsesheets 5-14 and 5-15 by speed average

horsesheets 5-14 and 5-15 by closing

horsesheets 5-14 and 5-15 trainer angles

I’m kind of embarrassed to admit I had a pretty good Derby day, almost wholly because I made a substantial bet on Mandaloun – not because of my handicapping, but because of the name. When I saw it a few weeks before the Derby I knew I had to bet it. Don’t know why. Don’t care. The point is, I wish I had a name to bet in the Black Susan, because it’s such a ragbag of horses – dirt horses, turf horses, maiden breakers, synthetic horses, route horses, sprint horses, closers, closers, closers, and no real speed in evidence. But anyway, here goes.

blackeyed susan analysis

Here’s a new quarterhorse format I just put together. I figured out an algorithm that uses information from each horse’s PP’s to predict its final time in the upcoming race. Working pretty good so far; give it a try. Haven’t gotten it down to the 110 yard sprints yet, and there’s not enough information to reliably predict a maiden race with first-time-starters. But from 220 up it’s pretty good.

Fat Cowboy quarters 5-10-2021

Happy Mothers’ Day! I’ve produced a couple of sheets for Sunday: BTOT and FCBY for AP, BEL, CD, GP, and SA. BTOT is a new arrangement, sorted by a fairly complex algorithm that produces some monster hits. For a recent example: keyed a $200 exacta in the 5th at Belmont on Friday. It happens fairly rarely, but if you use it wisely it can give you some big hits. It’s usually at its best in routes, but pulls up some pretty good winners in 6.5f races also for some reason. FCBY is a recent arrangement that tries to put the essential information into a very accessible format. It’s sorted by projected overall speed, then also gives you each horse’s historical average at the same type of race (sprint or route) on today’s surface, and their historical speed average on this surface at a distance within 110 yards of today’s distance. That one pulls up some pretty good payoffs, also. Have fun! I’ll be putting up sheets for Friday and Saturday of Preakness weekend, too. Don’t know when they’ll go up, but LW&TCDR I’ll get them up sometime.

btot horsesheets 5-9-2021

fcby horsesheets 5-9-2021